Here are the former rates, subtracted from the latter rates: That’s just HR/FB% – IFFB%. And since the vast majority isn’t quite 100%, I decided to check on the ISO leaders in the second half of the season, hoping to find a surprising name near the top. Sign In.
Admittedly the statistical analogy is imperfect, but Whit Merrifield OPS’d at .784 in the majors at the keystone this year, good for ninth among second-base qualifiers. Behind even Dansby Swanson. Behind even Alcides Escobar, for God’s sake. Position: Second Baseman Bats: Left • Throws: Right 5-11, 200lb (180cm, 90kg) .

Kemp would go on the next season and win the MVP not win the MVP because Ryan Braun would — by assembling similar offensive rate stats as Kemp in 60 fewer plate appearances while playing poorer defense. Please support FanGraphs by becoming a member. My first instinct when noting this drop was to think that he had sacrificed some pop in his swing in exchange for a more patient approach, but that was not necessarily the case. His HR/FB rate predictably fell from a wicked-but-unsustainable 25.4%, but the resulting 9.8% still fell well below his career mark of 16.7%.

If Odor can hold or build on his gain in patience (albeit from a very low base), lower the whiffs back to at least his career rate, and get some balls in play to go his way, he can return to his playable previous form.

Play-by-play data prior to 2002 was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted

Odor’s effectiveness against most pitches has only fluctuated slightly since 2016, but that is not the case for the four-seam fastball: After logging 9.7 runs above average against the four-seamer in 2016, Odor dropped 13.9 runs all the way to -4.2 the following season. It’s not a mind blowing jump, but a move from the bottom of the distance leaderboards to right around the league average is noteworthy. Rougned Roberto Odor (Spanish pronunciation: [ˈruɣneð oˈðoɾ]) (born February 3, 1994), nicknamed "Rougie", is a Venezuelan professional baseball second baseman for the Texas Rangers of Major League Baseball (MLB).

So in the search for an idea, I fall back on my typical activity — leaderboard sorting!

Team: Texas Rangers (majors) Born: February 3, 1994 in Maracaibo, Venezuela ve Debut: May 8, 2014 (Age 20-094d, 18,222nd in MLB history) vs. COL 4 AB, 0 H, 0 HR, 0 RBI, 0 SB . At that time, he had posted a pitiful .229 wOBA, displayed Juan Pierre-like power, struck out too frequently, and wasn’t too keen on taking a free pass. A healthy-yet-not-unsustainable .297 batting average on balls in play (BABIP) anchored a solid .271 batting average, and 70 extra-base hits made for an impressive .502 slugging percentage. Rookie Status: Exceeded rookie limits during 2014 season If you recall, Odor didn’t begin the season in a positive way. Where did those wins above replacement come from then? At the conclusion of the 2018 season, his slash line sat at .240/.336/.372, and his OPS at a much less imposing .708. Play-by-play data prior to 2002 was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted

Rougned Odor TEX 2B L $3 Trea Turner WSN SS R $36 Joe Jimenez DET RP R $4: July 25, 2020 7:57 AM : Front Row: Freddie Freeman ATL 1B L $53 : Wookie of the Year: Rougned Odor TEX 2B L $1 Ian Happ CHC 2B/3B/OF S $7: July 5, 2020 10:04 AM : Lamenting Lamet's Ligaments: Rich Hill MIN SP L $3: WAR Horse Rougned Odor TEX 2B L $4

tends to be weaker on projected balls than strikes. The aspect of the game that had long anchored Odor’s overall value instead buoyed it last season. I'm a lawyer. As a result, he set a new career high in on-base percentage (.326) that was right around league-average. We publish thousands of articles a year, host multiple podcasts, and have an ever growing database of baseball stats. Odor has the eighth-worst walk rate among active major leaguers. All Win Expectancy, Leverage Index, Run Expectancy, and Fans Scouting Report data licenced from TangoTiger.com. We hoped you liked reading The Worst of Rougned Odor Is Back by Jeff Sullivan!

Odor’s batting average fluctuates up in even years and down in odd years, so will his batting average be up in 2020? as distributed by STATS. A club option at the end could boost the maximum value up to $62 million, and the deal would be effective immediately, buying out two or possibly three of what would’ve been Odor… by Retrosheet. A far different player than the patient Santo, Kemp was always more of a close-eyes-and-swing-hard type, but the Ks really overwhelmed him in 2009, as his strikeout rate jumped almost 5% to 25.4%, the highest he would ever have in a fully healthy season. Let’s take a look at some more advanced data on Odor. by Handedness.

He was dead last in wRC+, behind even Jose Peraza. If there’s any karmic justice, he’ll never show any future flashes of ability and rot away stealing Ranger money until 2023. The most pronounced changes, however, have occurred since that breakout 2016. All minor league baseball data provided by Major League Baseball Advanced Media Admins may or may not choose to remove the comment or block the author. His team, i.e.

His wRC+ is quite literally just about half what it was a season ago.

It’s not that he isn’t a half-decent power hitter, but he pops up too often for someone who hits so many balls in the air. With Kemp coming off a severely disappointing season and Braun not yet coming off his steroid exposure, this is perhaps more evidence that MVP awards are indeed path-dependent. Perhaps those minuscule drops can account for the slight drop in his home run rate (he was still on pace to hit 28 in 600 at-bats), but all-encompassing stats like wRC+ account for that sort of thing.

Please support FanGraphs by becoming a member. Only Javier Baez, who recently filed a patent application on the letter “K”, had a higher rate among qualifying second basemen last year. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman.

We’ll start with his ISO or “Isolated Power” which Fangraphs defines as a measure of a hitter’s raw power and tells you how often a player hits for extra bases.

And it’s also important to point out that, when Odor popped up a bunch in 2015, he still managed to hit all right. Playing in just 129 games all but ruled out any chance of once again reaching that 30 home run mark, but his 76 runs scored were notably just three shy of the 79 he scored in 162 contests the year prior. Play-by-play data prior to 2002 was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted

We hoped you liked reading Rougned Odor Has Changed, but Can He Improve? by Mike Delayo! He has stolen as many as 32 bases in the minors (back in 2013) and has eight this year combining his Majors and minors totals. And to be fair, other advanced metrics are not as harsh on him as bWAR — fWAR gave him a nice round zero that year, while his wRC+ checked in at 106, hardly encouraging for a supposed power-hitting outfielder, but hardly disastrous either. To add some color to that, his slash line against the pitch in 2016 was .295/.333/.665. But, given how aggressively he swings, he’s given the impression of being awfully volatile. All Win Expectancy, Leverage Index, Run Expectancy, and Fans Scouting Report data licenced from TangoTiger.com. Four players are ejected; ... Fangraphs 2018: WAR 2.5 Bat -2 Field 7 Run 0 HR/FB 14% Pull 47% Hard 45% IFFB 12% Fangraphs 2019: WAR 0.3 Bat -17 Field -4 Run 2 HR/FB 19% Pull 47% Hard 46% IFFB 14% Check out our. No, probably not. As far as breakout years are concerned, Rougned Odor did a bang-up job in 2016. by Retrosheet.

Some of Kemp’s retreat, however, could also be attributed to bad luck, however; he had the lowest BABIP of his career that year.

Odor has shown he can strike out less, and indeed in the minors his strikeout to walk ratio was just a little over 2:1, much better than the 5:1 rate he’s shown at the majors, a rate that has washed out players like Wilin Rosario and Will Middlebrooks.

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And right now, his HR/FB rate is at exactly that league average mark.

and play-by-play data provided by Baseball Info Solutions.

FanGraphs does not have a paywall. All minor league baseball data provided by Major League Baseball Advanced Media

It’s just another indicator that a problem has existed.

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