Using the historical facts, betting statistics and combining these with the current Melbourne Cup Form Guide is a great way to pick the winning Melbourne Cup Trifecta when the ‘race that stops a nation’ stops the world at 3:00pm (AEDT) on the first Tuesday of November annually. Syndicator Luke Murrell, whose company Australian Bloodstock syndicated the 2014 Melbourne Cup winner Protectionist, said Cross Counter was extremely well in with his current weight.
The Danny O’Brien-trained stayer carried 52kg to victory last year but received 57kg when Racing Victoria’s chief handicapper released the weights for the 160th running of the Melbourne Cup. Last week I mentioned Confirmation Bias when discussing how too many punters over bet favourites, particularly in relation to their investments on those at rougher odds. The same travelling rules apply whether it’s a Melbourne Cup contender or champion sprinter Black Caviar, according to Nickajack Cave’s new trainer Peter Moody. Think! However, Murrell pointed out that Mustajeer’s win in the £1million Ebor provided the stayer’s owners with a free crack at the Melbourne Cup after recouping their outlay in one race. Carpenter said Surprise Baby’s trainer Paul Preusker had indicated the gelding would have only one more run before the Melbourne Cup after his close second in last Saturday’s Group 2 Feehan Stakes at The Valley. Cross Counter won last year’s Melbourne Cup with 51kg but is the 57.5kg topweight for his title defence at Flemington in November.. ANTHONY VAN DYCK (IRE) 5H (Aidan O’Brien), MASTER OF REALITY (IRE) 6G (Joseph O’Brien), SIR DRAGONET (IRE) 5H ( Ciaron Maher & David Eustace), TWILIGHT PAYMENT (IRE) 8G (Joseph O’Brien), MIRAGE DANCER (GB) 7H ( Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young), DASHING WILLOUGHBY (GB) 5G (Andrew Balding), PRINCE OF ARRAN (GB) 8G (Charlie Fellowes), CAPE OF GOOD HOPE (IRE) 5H ( Tom Dabernig & Ben Hayes), PATRICK SARSFIELD (FR) 5H (Joseph O’Brien), CONSTANTINOPLE (IRE) 5G ( Tom Dabernig & Ben Hayes), KING OF LEOGRANCE (FR) 6G (Danny O’Brien), MASTER OF WINE (GER) 6G ( Michael, Wayne & John Hawkes), QUICK THINKER 4H ( Murray Baker & Andrew Forsman), THE CHOSEN ONE (NZ) 5H ( Murray Baker & Andrew Forsman), ANGEL OF TRUTH 5G ( Michael, Wayne & John Hawkes), ARCADIA QUEEN 5M ( Grant & Alana Williams), DR DRILL (GB) 6G ( Ciaron Maher & David Eustace), ETAH JAMES (NZ) 8M ( Ciaron Maher & David Eustace), HUSH WRITER (JPN) 6G ( Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott), PORT GUILLAUME (FR) 4H (Jean-Claude Rouget), STEEL PRINCE (IRE) 7G ( Anthony & Sam Freedman), AZURO (FR) 7G ( Ciaron Maher & David Eustace), ZEBROWSKI (NZ) 4G ( Michael, Wayne & John Hawkes), FURRION (GB) 6G ( Tom Dabernig & Ben Hayes), OCEANEX (NZ) 5M ( Mick Price & Michael Kent (Jnr)), AL GALAYEL (IRE) 7G ( Ciaron Maher & David Eustace), DJANGO FREEMAN (GER) 5H (Robert Hickmott), GALLIC CHIEFTAIN (FR) 8H (Archie Alexander), INVERLOCH (IRE) 7G ( Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young), SIR CHARLES ROAD 7G ( Lance O’Sullivan & Andrew Scott), SUPER TITUS (GB) 7G ( Tom Dabernig & Ben Hayes), WOLFE (JPN) 6G ( Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott), LORD BELVEDERE (GB) 7G ( Ciaron Maher & David Eustace), PATHS OF GLORY (GB) 6G ( Richard & Michael Freedman), AMERICAN WHISKEY (USA) 4H ( Michael, Wayne & John Hawkes), BARTHOLOMEU DIAS (GB) 6G ( Ciaron Maher & David Eustace), CADRE DU NOIR (USA) 5H ( Ciaron Maher & David Eustace), CRACK ON CRACK ON (GB) 6G ( Gary & John Moore), DADOOZDART (GB) 5G ( Michael, Wayne & John Hawkes), DELPHI (IRE) 4H ( Anthony & Sam Freedman), ENTENTE 4G ( Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott), EXEMPLAR (IRE) 7G ( Ciaron Maher & David Eustace), FEEL THE RUSH (NZ) 4M ( Ciaron Maher & David Eustace), GRAND PROMENADE (GB) 5G ( Ciaron Maher & David Eustace), HIGH EMOCEAN (NZ) 4M ( Ciaron Maher & David Eustace), INVOLVED (GB) 6G ( Ciaron Maher & David Eustace), JACK REGAN (GB) 6G ( Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young), JUST THINKIN’ 4G ( Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott), LOOK SHARPISH (NZ) 4M ( Leon & Troy Corstens), MILESTONE (FR) 5H ( Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young), NAVAL WARFARE (IRE) 7G ( Anthony & Sam Freedman), NORTHWEST PASSAGE 7G ( Ciaron Maher & David Eustace), ORDER OF AUSTRALIA (IRE) 4H (Aidan O’Brien), ORDEROFTHEGARTER (IRE) 7H (Danny O’Brien), PERSAN 4H ( Ciaron Maher & David Eustace), REALM OF FLOWERS 4M ( Anthony & Sam Freedman), SAUNTER BOY (FR) 8G ( Ciaron Maher & David Eustace), SAVVY LAD (NZ) 4G ( Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young), SIERRA SUE (NZ) 4M ( Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young), SIN TO WIN (NZ) 8G ( Tom Dabernig & Ben Hayes), SOUTH PACIFIC (GB) 5H ( Ciaron Maher & David Eustace), TAVIRUN (NZ) 5G ( Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young), TINANDALI (IRE) 5G ( Ciaron Maher & David Eustace), WALL OF FIRE (IRE) 8G ( Ciaron Maher & David Eustace), DALASAN 4H ( Leon Macdonald & Andrew Gluyas), SHANDY 5M ( Mathew Ellerton & Simon Zahra).
Call Gambling Help on 1800 858 858 or visit www.gamblinghelp.nsw.gov.au or www.gamblinghelponline.org.au, Copyright © Racing Internet Services Pty Ltd. 2018, Stay in control. Is gambling a problem for you? “He’s had seven starts in Group company for three wins- two at Group I level and two placings to the best stayer in the world in Stradivarius – basically the Melbourne Cup is over before we start if he travels well. Melbourne Cup Weight Facts & Figures. The Aidan O’Brien camp has lost a Melbourne Cup hope after advising Irish Derby winner Santiago won’t run on the first Tuesday in November. The only horse with a lower benchmark weight in the field was Steel Prince (7kg), who gained exemption by winning the Andrew Ramsden Stakes (2800m) earlier in the year.
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