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... Help Support FanGraphs. “Call J.G. Dan Szymborski ran the ZiPS projections for Acuña’s next eight seasons; he averaged about four and a half wins per season, putting him right in line with expectations for Freddie Freeman and Anthony Rendon this year. It wasn’t a batted ball that’s going to show up on any Ronald Acuna highlight reels, but a plate appearance isn’t just about how it ends — it’s also about how it gets there.

Who’s his agent? What’s it all good for, anyway? In turn, he’s found himself behind in the count far less often. The bulk of his swings would be against pitches in the zone. by Retrosheet. His numbers all soared.

As I say over and over again, I like to wait a while to see how rookies perform.

Those factors are all ones we should consider with contracts of this type, but we also need to consider what the player has potentially given up, as well as reasonable alternatives that meet some of the same goals. As a hitter falls behind, there’s more pressure on his shoulders. Over just the past 30 days, Acuna has swung at 20% of pitches out of the strike zone. as distributed by STATS.
Very UnSullivan, he normally makes players we wouldn’t normally care about interesting. The guarantee is doubled in Acuña’s case, but the difference between $43 million and $100 million is one that might not make that much of a difference in the course of a person’s a life, especially in contrast to this contract, which could potentially cost him hundreds of million of dollars given that Acuña may never have the opportunity to hit free agency while still in his prime. It follows that his walk and strikeout rates have responded.

Acuña, who has already played a season in the majors and performed really well, will make just $90 million over the next eight seasons if things break right and will have given up two free agent seasons. I didn’t see a major difference between Acuña and Juan Soto and could’ve truly seen the award going either way, so I was a little taken aback when Acuña nabbed 27 of the 30 first-place votes. He seemed to have a particular vulnerability to good fastballs. Website admin will know that you reported it. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. We should look at the big guarantee for a player with Acuña’s service time, note that it secures Acuña for life, and understand how tough it would be pass up that kind of money given that we don’t know or understand Acuña’s motivation or circumstances. These aren’t even the only contenders. Play-by-play data prior to 2002 was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted That would surely have been a safer, better deal? Admins may or may not choose to remove the comment or block the author. You see better pitches to hit, and you don’t have to swing so defensively. Ronald Acuna Jr. graphs for Major League baseball. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. Did they need a quick payday? All minor league baseball data provided by Major League Baseball Advanced Media Acuna took a very close fastball for a ball.

For this next plot, I’ll show you Acuna’s half-season percentiles in different counts. Since the All-Star break, he ranks in the 99th. He should fire his agent’s ass, immediately. He also now has more of a crouch, and, maybe most significantly, you can see that he has lowered his hands. We’ve been spoiled, and even in this year’s National League alone, we’ve got the 20-year-old Acuna and the 19-year-old Juan Soto. The first is to compare the deal to the one just signed by Eloy Jimenez. Ronald Acuña Jr. ATL OF R $48: December 16, 2019 10:10 AM : The Greatest Spuddy Ronald Acuña Jr. ATL OF R $40: City Island Mayflies: Steven Souza Jr. CHC Util R $3 Lucas Giolito CHW SP R $6 Clint Frazier NYY OF R $3 Hunter Renfroe TBR OF R $5 Carter Kieboom WSN 2B/SS R $6: December 14, 2019 10:49 PM : Acuna Matata: Luis Urias MIL 2B/SS R $9 Since the break, Acuna’s had one of the very lowest chase rates when behind or with two strikes. Acuna is now consistently in control, less than five months removed from his big-league debut. All Acuna needed to do was have an agent who could negotiate a deal similar Blake Snell’s deal. Because this is baseball, there’s no guarantee that the present version of Ronald Acuna will be the future version of Ronald Acuna. A common analytical writer trick is to open with an anecdote, to suck readers in before hitting them with statistics. Website admin will know that you reported it. And for Acuna this would not have made sense.

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